The Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to raise the federal funds target range by 0.25 percentage point, moving it to 3.75%‑4.0% – the first increase in three years. In its post‑meeting statement the Fed highlighted that domestic spending, productivity, capital investment and job gains remain resilient, while underscoring that inflation is still elevated and that the move is intended to bring price growth back to the 2% target.
The rate hike was prompted by a sharp rise in energy costs linked to the war in Iran. Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% in August, putting the national average at about $4.37 per gallon, while diesel hit a record $6.31 per gallon. Crude oil briefly topped $105 a barrel as U.S. and Iranian forces clashed in the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting one‑fifth of global petroleum flows.
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Chair Kevin Warsh, four months into his tenure, called the decision “sober,” noting that many price categories remain above 3% on both six‑ and twelve‑month bases. President Donald Trump condemned the hike on Truth Social, arguing rates should be near 1%, while Rep. Jason Smith of Missouri urged the Fed to cut rates, praising recent tax legislation and blaming the Biden administration for prior inflation. Warsh reiterated the Fed’s independence, saying it cannot control individual commodity prices but can prevent broader economic spillovers.